The Fama-French Model for Geopolitical Risk

Hedge Geopolitical Risk Smarter

Shielded maps your company's exposure to geopolitical events and compares prediction market hedges against traditional financial instruments — saving you 15-40% on hedging costs.

8+

Geopolitical Events Tracked

28%

Average Hedging Cost Savings

5

Major Companies Covered

3

Prediction Market Sources

Everything you need to manage geopolitical risk

From event detection to hedge execution — one platform for systematic geopolitical risk management.

Real-Time Event Tracking

Monitor geopolitical events with live probability data from prediction markets like Polymarket, Kalshi, and Metaculus.

Exposure Mapping

Map your company's financial exposure to geopolitical events across revenue, supply chain, and operations.

Hedge Comparison

Compare prediction market hedges against traditional instruments like FX forwards, options, and futures.

Cost Savings

Discover 15-40% cost savings by using prediction markets as an alternative hedging mechanism.

Real-World Use Cases

See how prediction market hedges outperform traditional instruments

Energy Companies

31% saved

Hedge against supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz or OPEC production changes using PM contracts at 31% lower cost than crude options.

Iran Strait of Hormuz Disruption

Semiconductor Firms

29% saved

Protect against China-Taiwan escalation risk. PM binary contracts offer 16x ROI vs 11.5x for traditional ETF puts.

China-Taiwan Military Escalation

Shipping & Logistics

29% saved

Manage Red Sea shipping disruption exposure. PM hedges cost 29% less than freight derivatives for equivalent coverage.

Red Sea Shipping Disruption

How It Works

Three steps to smarter geopolitical risk management

1

Monitor

Track geopolitical events with real-time probability data from multiple prediction markets

2

Analyze

Map your company's financial exposure — revenue, OPEX, and CAPEX impacts per event

3

Hedge

Compare PM vs traditional hedges, see the cost savings, and execute the optimal strategy

Start Hedging

Ready to reduce your hedging costs?

Join the companies using prediction markets for smarter, cheaper geopolitical risk management.